Comprehensive Summary of "Black Swans, Dragon-Kings and Prediction" Author(s): Didier SornettePublication Date: December 2010Journal/Publisher: ETH Zurich Presentation/Working PaperField/Discipline: Complex Systems, Financial Economics, Statistical Physics, Risk AnalysisDOI/Link: Not explicitly provided (document presented at ETH Zurich, original link: http://www.er.ethz.ch) (Optional) Executive SummaryDidier Sornette challenges the widely popularized concept of "Black Swans"—unpredictable and unknowable rare events—by introducing the … Continue reading ChatGPT Summary of Dragon Kings (Finance).
Author: Social Scholarly
A truth seeker first and foremost. I'm not afraid to plunge down the rabbit hole and I'm curious of everything. Knowledge gives you power, and with that power you must use it wisely. Reading, thinking, and writing is how I exercise my mind.
"Keep your heart warm, eyes sharp, brain keen, and mind open."
ChatGPT Deep Research on Dragon Kings (Finance).
I learned about Dragon Kings maybe two or three years ago in my personal research of financial markets and economic history. I found it fascinating, but I remain skeptical on how reliable it could be for predicting and applying it for financial markets. Dragon Kings are essentially extreme events that are anticipated or at least … Continue reading ChatGPT Deep Research on Dragon Kings (Finance).
Two useful AI/LLM prompts for academic papers.
I want to give credit to the places or folks I find different prompts from: https://twitter.com/search?q=prompt%20summarizer&src=typed_query&f=live If I find an interesting and useful prompt, I will tend to ask ChatGPT for feedback to improve upon it further and make slight variations. Me: Feedback and thoughts on this post. Do you think this prompt for summaries … Continue reading Two useful AI/LLM prompts for academic papers.
The Irony of Bitcoin’s Trajectory
https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/03/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-establishes-the-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-and-u-s-digital-asset-stockpile/ It is official, President Donald Trump and his administration established Bitcoin and a few other cryptocurrencies as strategic reserve digital assets. What was once an idea that was contrarian and treated as an outcast by the establishment is being embraced by them; ironic. I think back to what Michael Lewis once said in an … Continue reading The Irony of Bitcoin’s Trajectory
Going over Stephanie Kelton’s Substack article on Social Security w/ ChatGPT and Milton Friedman GPT.
// Note: Most of the custom GPTs I've created are for my personal use and are not publicly available in the GPT store for obvious reasons—one being concerns over likeness. They may not always perfectly capture or simulate the individual they represent, and it's important to distinguish between what that person might actually say if … Continue reading Going over Stephanie Kelton’s Substack article on Social Security w/ ChatGPT and Milton Friedman GPT.
Two short stories by Mad Hatter GPT.
The Clockmaker’s Cat and the Seventh Hour Once upon a time, in a town where every clock was slightly wrong, there lived a peculiar old man named Cornelius Tock. He was the town’s finest clockmaker—some said the only clockmaker—but his creations never quite worked as expected. Some clocks ran backward on Tuesdays, others rang bells … Continue reading Two short stories by Mad Hatter GPT.
Poems by Mad Hatter GPT.
Prompt: Could you write a whimsical poem about metaphysics. Ah, metaphysics! The playground of paradox, the dance of dreams where time and space slip through the fingers like sand in a cosmic hourglass. Here, then, is a whimsical poem for you: The Madman's Metaphysics Oh! The world is but a wisp of thought, A cosmic … Continue reading Poems by Mad Hatter GPT.
ChatGPT on the US Economic History and Current Trajectory.
Post WWII — 2025: Insights into fiscal and monetary policies, debt crisis, and more. // Tools used: ChatGPT 4o, ChatGPT Deep Research. Me: Break down this image, its content. Summarize it. ChatGPT: This image is a screenshot of the U.S. Debt Clock website, which displays real-time financial statistics related to the U.S. economy, government debt, … Continue reading ChatGPT on the US Economic History and Current Trajectory.
A Small Coffee Shop vs. the System: A Case Study in How Macro Forces Crush Local Businesses.
// Tools used for this post: Perplexity Deep Research, ChatGPT Deep Research, and ChatGPT 4o. Introduction. In February 2025, a seven-minute TikTok video posted by Rachel Nieves, co-owner of Buddies Coffee Roasters in Williamsburg, Brooklyn, sparked a national conversation about gentrification, small business survival, and Latino cultural preservation in rapidly changing urban landscapes. I came … Continue reading A Small Coffee Shop vs. the System: A Case Study in How Macro Forces Crush Local Businesses.
ChatGPT on AI and the Leverage Paradox: Maximum Gains, Maximum Risk.
David Shapiro, an AI aficionado, whom I followed on X recently (though I've come across one of his videos a few years ago) made an interesting claim that left me quite wary of the future as it concerns AI. He said: Here's why I'm an AI maximalist: First, literally every intellectual domain, from programming to … Continue reading ChatGPT on AI and the Leverage Paradox: Maximum Gains, Maximum Risk.
Social Scholarly 
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